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ihihi +15

Started by panic, June 14, 2010, 07:07:58 PM

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panic


CTEBAH


panic

http://i45.tinypic.com/8x21cy.jpg

same as i did on 5x with draco+15 :))

Thrinku

is there 0,001% chance? :D gz nab ;p
Thrinku ^aka^ Kub3k

ChillyWilly

Quote from: Bav3 on June 14, 2010, 07:20:38 PM
there is always 1/3 to sucess

ah yes, but what is the chance of getting that favorable 1/3 that many times in succession? 
too bad it broke

Thrinku

Quote from: Bav3 on June 14, 2010, 07:20:38 PM
there is always 1/3 to sucess
on arena i has done demon splinters from 0 to 15 later broke it to +16 but i has know there is chance like 0,0001% ;D
Thrinku ^aka^ Kub3k

LegolasIII

#6


0,3^13=>  0,00001594323%  for +16

if its true that the chance to enchant is 30%
which i doubt.. because the chance to make +15 is also pretty small (0,000000531441%) aka almost impossible

cheers~


RelaXo ~ Rest in Peace
Impact ~ Valkyria x9 Rest in Peace

Agril

Bav study the probability xD

(1/3)^15 for this case :O

For noob xD

Or maybe i'm noob xD

:D


Infinity 5x:
Agril
Kristeen

Valkyria 9x:
Nemesis

LegolasIII

it seems so ^^

little hint.. +3 is save  ;)


RelaXo ~ Rest in Peace
Impact ~ Valkyria x9 Rest in Peace

Thrinku

Quote from: Bav3 on June 15, 2010, 12:07:11 AM
chance is always 1/3 to sucess
no mater if u enchant +4 or +20
only diferent is if u enchant in row from 3-16 then chance is 0.0001% to sucess
but i doubt someone make this in row
y bro but i was say about arena and there is rly 0,0001 chance to +16 or smaller :D
Thrinku ^aka^ Kub3k

Dhart

Quote from: LegolasIII on June 15, 2010, 12:30:20 AM
the chance is much smaller

0,3^13=>  0,0000001594323%  for +16

if its true that the chance to enchant is 30%
which i doubt.. because the chance to make +15 is also pretty small (0,000000531441%) aka almost impossible

cheers~
Amh ... I'm sorry but this argument doesn't fill the topic:D
Anytime you enchant , doesnt matter how many times you alredy have done , it is 1/3 to succesfull , so for the theory of relativity it doesnt really matter you many weapons you alredy broke/enchanted , it'll still be 1/3 :P
For sure , breaking a weapon before you enchant a new one , make  the possibilities of successfull grow up
But still , it is too much relative to rapresent it just with a trivial formula :P , if we follow tightly math's formula it would be impossible to enchant anything far from +3 :P
Quote from: Torek [IF] on June 08, 2010, 12:34:09 PM
Dhart è un gladiatore (all rights reserved to Dhart)

LegolasIII

so which part in your opinion is wrong here? its pure math!

if something has a 30% chance to success, the chance that it does 13 times in a row is 0,3 ^ 13 if you want it or not, there is nothing to argument about :D


RelaXo ~ Rest in Peace
Impact ~ Valkyria x9 Rest in Peace