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ihihi +15

Started by panic, June 14, 2010, 07:07:58 PM

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undertaker22

was that the homo=acum+8 i sold u o.O

loXol

Quote from: LegolasIII on June 15, 2010, 02:08:06 AM
so which part in your opinion is wrong here? its pure math!

if something has a 30% chance to success, the chance that it does 13 times in a row is 0,3 ^ 13 if you want it or not, there is nothing to argument about :D

if something has 1/3 to happen, its always 1/3
so the chance that happen 13 times in a row is 30% chance.....
because probability are not linked in this case....
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Dhart

Quote from: loXol on June 15, 2010, 09:14:29 AM
if something has 1/3 to happen, its always 1/3
so the chance that happen 13 times in a row is 30% chance.....
because probability are not linked in this case....
Yep , that's what I wanted to point out .
If that formula was used in this case , how could it be possible that he enchanted the weapon?xD
Quote from: Torek [IF] on June 08, 2010, 12:34:09 PM
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panic

nah in valkery gm forgot something that mages weapons normal have 33% and fighter 66%
and mages weapons have same 66% here soon ppl will make am+++ and server will be fail gm must fix it

JeEbok

Quote from: panic on June 15, 2010, 04:47:45 PM
nah in valkery gm forgot something that mages weapons normal have 33% and fighter 66%
and mages weapons have same 66% here soon ppl will make am+++ and server will be fail gm must fix it

tbh for me always is 50% 50%... u will fail or success : 2 options -> 50% on 50%
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Thrinku

Quote from: JeEbok on June 15, 2010, 05:04:40 PM
tbh for me always is 50% 50%... u will fail or success : 2 options -> 50% on 50%
same like here
Thrinku ^aka^ Kub3k

coyz

Quote from: panic on June 15, 2010, 04:47:45 PM
nah in valkery gm forgot something that mages weapons normal have 33% and fighter 66%
and mages weapons have same 66% here soon ppl will make am+++ and server will be fail gm must fix it
no not realy..
only dragon has\had 33% success for mage weapons, since retail rate is 66.66666666667% for ALL weapons

panic

Quote from: coyz on June 15, 2010, 08:12:02 PM
no not realy..
only dragon has\had 33% success for mage weapons, since retail rate is 66.66666666667% for ALL weapons
ok on retail is no substack/no mana pots/no emp pots/etc here is donator-network oh dragon-network~ random things

bourrin

was lower rate for mage weaons and armors but it was changed not long ago, on 15x u can find some jewels+10
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magnitogorsk

Quote from: JeEbok on June 15, 2010, 05:04:40 PM
tbh for me always is 50% 50%... u will fail or success : 2 options -> 50% on 50%

Agreed, i spoked to a GM long ago, and i think is trustable, cause is an old friend of mine.He said then that till +15 is 50/50 chance.If they didn`t change it meanwhile.After +15 is applied the formula with 30 x 13 time in a row= 0.0015 bla bla chance
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LegolasIII

well.. i think you got it wrong ^^ i dont want to sound like an idiot though.. so just a short version:

i also dont think the chance is 30% (or even 33%) cause lets be honest.. it is way too low.
if the chance till +15 is 50% this would change the "formula" to 0,5^12 * 0,3^x where x is the number of enchants you do above 15
(which still means the chance for +15 is 0,02%) mathematicly every 5000th try for making it from +0 to +15 succeds x) if someone finds mistakes he can keep them :P


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